Tuesday, September 2, 2008

The Real Prestige Rankings: 2000-2008

For those who may not know, last month ESPN released “Prestige Rankings” for NCAA College Basketball teams from 1985 to the present. After reading through their methodology and scoring system, I decided to come up with my own rankings that I believe are more indicative of a team’s prestige.

For starters, I am working on making the rankings go back to 1985, but for now I have only done back to 2000. So these will be rankings for this decade only. I like the idea of having more recent rankings though, because many programs do change significantly over an extended period of time.

Now for the scoring system; I decided to only base my rankings off of success in the NCAA tournament. This is because I believe that is the ultimate goal for every Division I college basketball team, and since it includes all divisions, the tournament really encompasses everyone.

The scores that I give the teams for each year is essentially just their rank for how they finished in the tournament. For example, the champion is ranked No. 1 and the play-in game loser is ranked No. 65.

However, since I was assigning no score to teams that did not qualify for the tournament, I needed to make higher scores more valuable. So I inverted the rankings; the champion receives a score of 65 and the play-in game loser receives a score of one.

Also, everyone losing in the same round receives the same score. There is no discrepancy based on seed. Here is the detailed scoring breakdown:

Champion: 65 points

Runner-Up: 64 points

Lose in Final Four: 62 points

Lose in Elite Eight: 58 points

Lose in Sweet Sixteen: 50 points

Lose in Second Round: 34 points

Lose in First Round: 2 points

Lose in Play-In game: 1 point

Now to the rankings; here I have included the team and total score for all years since 2000. I am only showing the top 50 programs, which coincidentally is everyone scoring over 100 points (which is, on average, losing in the first or second round every year).

Rank

Team

Points

1

Duke

413

2

Kansas

395

3

Kentucky

354

4

Texas

350

5

North Carolina

349

6

UCLA

340

7

Michigan St.

337

T-8

Illinois

326

T-8

Wisconsin

326

10

Arizona

304

11

UConn

301

12

Florida

300

13

Maryland

279

14

Pittsburgh

270

15

Gonzaga

258

16

Stanford

248

17

Oklahoma

226

18

Xavier

222

19

Memphis

216

20

Oklahoma St.

208

21

Syracuse

203

22

Georgetown

196

23

Louisville

192

T-24

Boston College

188

T-24

Cincinnati

188

26

Tennessee

186

27

Indiana

172

28

Butler

170

29

Ohio State

168

T-30

Villanova

160

T-30

Purdue

160

32

West Virginia

158

T-33

NC State

154

T-33

Wake Forest

154

T-33

Notre Dame

154

36

Southern Illinois

140

37

Miss. St.

138

38

Alabama

130

39

Missouri

128

40

Tulsa

126

T-41

Oregon

122

T-41

Utah

122

43

Nevada

120

44

Texas A&M

118

45

LSU

116

46

USC

112

T-47

Washington

102

T-47

Vanderbilt

102

T-47

Marquette

102

T-47

Georgia Tech

102

For the decade, Duke is the top ranked team. This is consistent with ESPN’s rankings, even though they go back fifteen more years.

There were 198 teams that had a score (made the tournament at least one year). For comparison, there are currently 341 teams in Division 1.

I plan to post the rankings going back to 1985 shortly, and then I will make comparisons to the rankings ESPN got.

For readers to lazy to click the link at the top of the page, ESPN’s rankings take a lot more into account than just tournament success. One thing I noticed just by reading the rankings was that teams from smaller conferences seemed to be getting more credit than they should have because they had seasons with large win totals. I will go into this issue more in future articles.

I also will analyze the scores by conference and find the top teams in each conference as well as the top conferences. I was planning on saving this analysis for the rankings back to 1985, but can easily analyze these more current rankings as well if there is interest.

Also, please let me know if there are certain teams you are interested in to a more detailed extent, or teams you are interested in that may have fallen outside of this list.

1 comment:

VUhoops.com said...

I think there's something wrong in the scoring when being a National Champion is only ONE point better than losing in the Championship.